Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.091514 14.707923 16.461076 18.506216 20.829550 23.390391 26.431729
2025-03-30 10.620725 12.745142 15.218196 18.319065 22.116266 26.631191 32.430942
2025-04-06 8.628746 10.969252 13.868689 17.745115 22.823090 29.291031 38.221048
2025-04-13 7.184815 9.622878 12.818891 17.351246 23.671472 32.257582 44.950381
2025-04-20 6.308700 8.871363 12.413723 17.725577 25.588649 36.955614 54.916842
2025-04-27 5.624659 8.274507 12.122612 18.203140 27.727354 42.337201 66.955060
2025-05-04 4.989557 7.649763 11.692125 18.397237 29.469091 47.429189 79.601150
2025-05-11 4.340884 6.907538 10.970973 18.015693 30.225724 51.082815 90.640117
2025-05-18 3.817531 6.288198 10.351931 17.695439 31.019116 54.925631 102.821528
2025-05-25 3.387693 5.762632 9.810873 17.417409 31.829283 58.929687 116.164132
2025-06-01 3.044464 5.338227 9.382307 17.268318 32.842212 63.481127 131.590077
2025-06-08 2.762407 4.984417 9.029297 17.200839 33.992993 68.500550 149.128656
2025-06-15 2.584168 4.804952 8.985857 17.754166 36.551028 77.024301 176.819574
2025-06-22 2.363872 4.517401 8.698371 17.773942 38.006250 83.507107 201.516527
2025-06-29 2.126034 4.165460 8.237679 17.360894 38.447448 87.823353 222.084596
2025-07-06 1.931365 3.875790 7.864791 17.079109 39.138090 92.873124 245.962556
2025-07-13 1.823046 3.750960 7.819582 17.524798 41.637919 102.896052 286.354469
2025-07-20 1.731338 3.649727 7.811310 18.055467 44.454547 114.366292 334.434433
2025-07-27 1.625882 3.505356 7.688243 18.291788 46.570247 124.456533 381.526430
2025-08-03 1.491181 3.279447 7.350617 17.944211 47.075409 130.190406 416.540719
2025-08-10 1.374038 3.080292 7.050853 17.648123 47.673454 136.351995 455.076237
2025-08-17 1.270935 2.902322 6.779990 17.387365 48.329757 142.863952 497.113174
2025-08-24 1.184784 2.755221 6.566805 17.250541 49.330796 150.710669 546.881669